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Content:
- Forecast future earnings, dividends, cash flows using financial information before the virus outbreak.
- Use three methods (dividend, free cash flow, and earnings) covered in Lecture 6 to predict stock prices for the next 3 years; see whether your results with different methods converge
- Now take into consideration of the COVID impact and re-forecast earnings;
- To get the new earnings forecast, you should break down the COVID impact into 3 aspects. How does the outbreak or quarantine affect the firm’s operating, investing, and financing activities?
- You should provide detailed breakdowns of the affected activities into different accounting items.
- You can either tabulate or plot the quarterly changes in these dimensions for the next three years
- Aggregate the impact and re-forecasted earnings.
- Use the new earnings to predict stock prices for the next 3 years.
- Compare the stock price trends w/o considering the virus outbreak.
